Market Analysis

USD/JPY is trading right at the edge of 160 — the most closely watched intervention threshold in global forex — as the Bank of Japan tightens policy while the Federal Reserve eases for the first time in years. J.P. Morgan projects the pair reaching 164 by year-end. Westpac sees it falling to 145. This complete analysis covers exactly what’s driving that massive forecast gap, the key technical levels traders are watching, the intervention risk that’s kept large speculators cautious, and what to expect through the second half of 2026.